Hurricane will increase the percentages for two techniques, 2 others lower

The Atlantic has two weather systems Tuesday morning with the potential to become the next tropical low or storm of the season, according to the National Hurricane Center.

The first is a broad and elongated low-pressure area located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. It will produce a large area of ​​disorganized showers and thunderstorms, according to the NHC’s tropical outlook for 8am.

“Although environmental conditions are only marginally supportive, gradual evolution of this system is expected over the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week,” said senior hurricane specialist Daniel Brown.

The system is expected to move west then west-northwest at 5 to 10 miles per hour in an area contiguous to the northern Leeward Islands. NASA officials noted its possible path, which must account for the tropical threat, after the Artemis I rocket missed its opportunity to launch from Kennedy Space Center on Monday. The next flight opportunities are during the Friday 2nd September and Monday 5th September windows.

The NHC gives this system a 50% chance of turning into a tropical depression or storm in the next two days and an 80% chance in the next five days.

The second system is a tropical wave off the west coast of Africa that emerged Tuesday morning and is accompanied by a broad area of ​​low pressure that will move west-northwest over the next few days.

“The system could evolve into a short-lived tropical depression over the waters of the Far East Atlantic over the next few days,” Brown said. “By the end of this week, the disturbance is expected to move over cooler waters and further development is not likely after that time.”

In any case, the system could bring heavy rain to parts of the Cabo Verde Islands by Wednesday.

The NHC gives it a 20% chance of forming over the next two days and a 40% chance over the next five days.

If either system forms into a named tropical storm, it would become Tropical Storm Danielle. After that, the names of the hurricane season are Earl, Fiona, and Gaston.

The 2022 hurricane season had just three named storms and none since early July. It is possible for the season to last the entire month of August without a named system. Despite the recent calm in the tropics, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is forecasting an above-average year of 14 to 21 named storms, following a forecast in early August.

The 2020 hurricane season set a record with 30 systems named, while the 2021 season was the third most active with 21 systems named. An average year requires 14 named storms.

Hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30, with the traditional peak hurricane season lasting from mid-August to mid-October.

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